Well.
I hate to say "I told you so."
But as I have commented to Liberal friends respecting talk of Liberals gaining "momentum", as we have seen in the past with other "faux scandals" the Canadian public gets irritated with the conservatives (as they should), but then when they conclude the issue is not of significant import, they quickly forgive and the Conservatives rise in the polls again.
Today Nanos Poll results are giving the Conservatives 41.3% of the vote, with Liberals dropping to 30.3%.. Enough for a Conservative majority.
Word is Michael Ignatieff is checking out accommodations in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
3 comments:
Hopefully more voters , even if they have traditionally voted Liberal will be appalled at the thought of the wretched Bloc being the power broker in any Liberal / NDP / Bloc coalition !
The Nanos numbers (based on a 3-day rolling average) are hard to predict. For example, when the Libs got their 4 point bump Thursday morning, it could only be because they had a huge result (around 38 % ?) from the Wed night sample of 400. So I fully expected the Friday morning number to show another increase. But it showed a drop !?!
Anyway, Nik's number tomorrow will drop off the Libs excellent Wed night sample of 400, and insert the Sat night sample of 400. So if the Libs do poorly tonight, there should be like a 3 point drop for them.Similarly I expect about a 1 point drop for us.
But don't quote me on these predictions. It could be that Nik uses some kind of formula to smooth out the results.
Rumor has it that the quebec federalists that are Liberals are going to vote conservative because they want to Bloc the Bloc and get rid of them. and love the Idea of stopping the $2:00 subsizied voting.
Post a Comment